Nasrallah’s flight: Tehran’s influence on Lebanon and Syria diminishes
If confirmed, it would represent yet another slap in the face to all those "experts" who, after every action that hits a senior Iranian official or commander Pasdaran – as were Qassem Soleimani and Mohsen Fakhrizadeh – begin to predict storm winds, which then turn out to be soap bubbles.
According to reports from the Arab and Israeli press, after the killing of Fakhrizadeh, the father of the Iranian atomic bomb, the secretary of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, would have decided to leave Lebanon indefinitely to take refuge in Tehran for security reasons.
If the news were confirmed, Nasrallah's transfer would indicate two things: 1) the Iranian regime is in the process of retreat. As happened after Soleimani's death, where Tehran's response was limited, also in this case the response of the Islamic Republic is defensive, aimed at protecting its regional assets, in order to prevent these too from being eliminated soon; 2) Hezbollah in Lebanon is constantly losing ground.
As proof of this second statement, we report what is happening in the negotiations on the maritime borders between Jerusalem and Beirut, which started months ago on an American proposal and are now apparently at a standstill. Some have argued that these negotiations stopped by Lebanese will, after the killing of Fakhrizadeh. Shortly after this rumor began to circulate, it was precisely the Lebanese political leaders who argued that the opposite was true, that is, that the suspension of negotiations was wanted by Israelis and Americans.
Not enough: Lebanese President Aoun, theoretically an ally of Hezbollah, personally intervened to reaffirm his support for the negotiation, arguing that it is absolutely possible to overcome the differences between the two sides.
Finally, speaking to the Med Dialogues promoted by the Farnesina and Ispi , the Lebanese Foreign Minister Charbel Wehbe said that it will not be Lebanon that will defend Iran, after the killing of Fakhrizadeh, because "Iran is able to defend itself in only". Translated, "dear Iranians do not think of using Lebanese territory, activating Hezbollah, to open a front of conflict with Israel to take revenge".
Finally, we report, again from the Arab press, how even Syria recently decided to say no to Tehran , refusing the Iranian request to open a second front with Israel, in the Golan. At the request of the Pasdaran, in fact, the Assad regime would have opposed a "polite refusal", citing the pretext of preferring to close the home front, before opening a new one.
The post Nasrallah's flight: Tehran's influence on Lebanon and Syria decreases appeared first on Atlantico Quotidiano .
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Atlantico Quotidiano at the URL http://www.atlanticoquotidiano.it/quotidiano/fuga-di-nasrallah-diminuisce-linfluenza-di-teheran-su-libano-e-siria/ on Sat, 05 Dec 2020 05:12:00 +0000.