EMIRATES, ISRAEL AND LEBANON. The Middle Eastern revolution in progress
The Middle East is on the verge of a new tectonic shift in regional power balances. Previous years have been characterized by the growth of Iranian and Hezbollah influence and the decrease in US control over the region. January 2020 began with the new confrontation between Iran and the United States which had every chance of turning into open war . August 2020 seemed to mark the first peace agreement between an Arab state and Israel in more than 25 years, while another historic agreement seems to be on the horizon, that of peace with Lebanon .
Israel and the UAE have reached a historic peace agreement. US President Donald Trump announced the groundbreaking deal on August 13, calling Israel and the UAE "great friends" of his country. In a joint statement, Israel, the UAE and the United States said the deal will promote peace in the Middle East. The official statements praised the "courageous diplomacy" and the "vision" of the leaders of the three countries, and therefore pay the duty to Trump's very large role in the agreement. Certainly its function in convincing the Israelis to withdraw from the annexation of the West Bank territories, an essential step for the emirs, was essential.
The agreement prepares some points that both Israel and Trump will try to expand to other countries as well:
- an exchange of information, and even more, from a military point of view, even in an anti-Iranian version;
- the renunciation as we have written, of the policy of "Solution" of the West Bank,
- preferential access for Muslims to areas sacred to them in Israel.
The anti-Iranian and anti-Shia role of the agreement is evident. This puts the Palestinians in great political difficulty, who, despite being mostly Sunnis, see themselves abandoned by most of their "Arab Brothers".
Meanwhile, Lebanese President Aoun, in an interview with French TV, spoke of possible peace talks with Israel, and this has greatly surprised, especially because Aoun is an expression of the Shiites of Hezbollah, a strongly anti-Israeli movement that until recently launched missiles at Israel. The problem is that the explosion in the port of Beirut has put Hezbollah in a very difficult position, which, in the cumbersome and arteriosclerotic system of Lebanese government, is seen as the culprit of the crisis. This can be a way to distract attention or to solve the problem.
Who remains in a complex position? Certainly Iran, but also Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom now faces a video: officially recognize Israel or take a step back. If until yesterday it was possible to delay, this time has now come to an end. The Saudi monarchy will have to decide.
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The article EMIRATES, ISRAEL AND LEBANON. The ongoing Middle Eastern revolution comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/emirati-israele-e-libano-la-rivoluzione-mediorientale-in-corso/ on Mon, 17 Aug 2020 17:39:19 +0000.