Macron thinks he has won, but he has only laid the seed for the fall

Macron ensured that LFI won the elections, within the New Popular Front coalition, and now the winners, rightly, are taking the money.

This morning two members of LFI began to claim, in the media, the role of prime minister for their leader. Manuel Bompard and Mathilde Panot in the media claimed the post of prime minister from the leader of the party which, in theory, won the elections and which now holds the largest number of seats in parliament, namely Jean-Luc Melenchon.

For now Macron has confirmed his protégé Attal as prime minister, but his life will be short. The funny thing is that everyone judges Macron to be a genius for having literally stolen the votes of the RN, which received over 10 million votes, to get his own deputies and those of the NFP elected in the second round. Too bad he actually cut his legs off himself.

After this nice political game he will hardly be able to count on support from the right, so for him only left-wing parties remain, from the more moderate socialists, to those components, such as the greens. of the NFP.

Macron needs at least 120 votes if he wants to form a government controlled by him. A centrist-only coalition cannot exist, because there are only 66 centre-right moderates and only 12 on the left outside the NFP. Not enough to form a government.

At this point he either leaves the ball to Melenchon, whose support he will have to ask for anyway, or he will have to try to break the left opposition. However, both policies will lead to profound political consequences:

• more extremist ecology, even to the detriment of agriculture, as on the issue of water collection basins, or with urban regulations that are even more extremist than the current ones;
• the cancellation of the only reform with financial effect made by Macron, that of pensions, which will lead to tension on public finances;
• the government will continue to underestimate the problem of insecurity and increasingly out of control suburbs.

These are factors that have led to the growth of the RN. Now the future government will apply policies that will irritate the majority of the electorate even more, all because it wanted to humiliate the vote of 10 million French people. A good result for Macron, politics will soon come to present him with the bill.

The article Macron thinks he has won, but has only laid the seed for the fall comes from Economic Scenarios .

This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/macron-pensa-di-aver-vinto-ma-ha-solo-posto-il-seme-per-la-caduta/ on Tue, 09 Jul 2024 09:50:22 +0000.