Will we have a weak solar peak, and therefore much less energetic? Effects for the climate

Scientists expect that in 2025 there may be the anticipated peak of the twenty-fifth cycle of solar activity, but there are strong doubts that this advance could mark much lower activity than the previous ones. This could have important effects on the climate.

We specify that solar cycles repeat themselves with a variable frequency, but with an approximate duration of 11 years. The cycles have been counted since 1755, the year in which they began to be counted, so although there have certainly been hundreds of millions of cycles, the current one is only the number 25. Solar cycle 24 started in 2008, has had a maximum in 2014 and ended in 2019. The solar cycle is detected through sunspots, which externally show the activity that occurs deep in the sun, and in 2019 there was a minimum in these phenomena.

Scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NASA and the International Space Environmental Services (ISES) have put together a constantly updated forecast for the solar cycle. The latest forecast says that the solar maximum, when the sunspot number peaks and our star is most active, will occur between November 2024 and March 2026, but most likely around July 2025. The solar flare at which witnessed last week was the first sign of this activity that will escalate to its peak in 2025, then see a new lull in 2027. A solar maximum can be a problem for telecommunications and pose dangers. even for astronauts in space. The international space station even has a module equipped specifically for these events.

But NASA scientists are seeing very little activity in the polar areas, a sign that this little one could be weak. Already the cycle 24 has marked a minimum in a century and the 25 could continue in this trend. Weaker solar cycles coincide with colder periods. For example, between the mid-seventeenth century and the first decade of the eighteenth there was a minimum of sunspot activity, called the "Maunder Minimum" which came to correspond with a small ice age in which, for example, the Thames froze in London . A bad period, marked by famine and hunger.

Are we moving towards a similar situation with also a political system that has gone mad and pursues food and climate chimeras?


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The article Will we have a weak solar peak, and therefore much less energy? Effects for the climate comes from ScenariEconomici.it .


This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/avremo-un-picco-solare-debole-e-quindi-molto-meno-energetico-ricadute-per-il-clima/ on Sat, 16 Oct 2021 20:33:21 +0000.