Let me explain why the government crisis will not be a picnic for M5s and Pd
Many are hoping, both among the 5 stars and in the Democratic Party, in a simple bureaucratic act. A pure formality: count two away to make room for Count three, as if nothing had happened. But it won't be like that. Here because. Gianfranco Polillo's comment
Twelve days have passed since the resignations of Teresa Bellanova, Elena Bonetti and Ivan Scalfarotto. Two weeks lived dangerously by all the protagonists of an event – the Italian political crisis – which has finally been resolved, returning to the constitutional framework. So many atrocities committed: from the frantic search for possible defectors to be raised to the rank of heroes, to the shipwreck of a recollected majority in the face of the first difficulty, moreover widely predictable at the time of the count in the Senate: that confrontation on justice, which Conte preferred desert, rather than face, with the almost certainty of defeat.
There are many who hope, both among the 5 stars and among the piddini, in a simple bureaucratic act. A pure formality: count two away to make room for Count three, as if nothing had happened. But this will not be the case: this is at least one of the few certainties that are the background to this new chapter of the Italian political crisis. If that were the case, we would have had an unprecedented material constitution twist. Certifying the birth of a fate of the Sun King – the Prime Minister – able to rotate political parties and movements around him. Licensed to create new ones in order to gain the necessary support for his shaky figure.
It will be like this? We persist in believing that all this is not possible, except to reduce a country with ancient democratic traditions to a banana republic. There is no doubt that the Grillini, with their emphasis placed on the limits of representative democracy, can gloat. They theorized direct democracy, to arrive instead at the forms of a new Bonapartism. In a perverse parable which, despite the variations imposed by the specificity of our days, has already been seen on other occasions. Just think of that heterogenesis of ends that characterized so many experiences of the twentieth century.
The phase that opens – it is easy prophecy – will, however, reserve some surprises. And not just because there will be a director – the President of the Republic – who will no longer be a mere spectator. It will have to ensure compliance with an established practice. Punctuated by the crises – 66 since the birth of the Republic – which have occurred and which have created a procedural armor that can hardly be circumvented. We will therefore begin with the consultations: presidents of the Chamber and Senate, then the parliamentary groups in ascending order, starting with the smallest. And here the first difficulties will begin.
Who will represent the "responsible"? There does not seem to be the time necessary to arrive at the constitution of a new parliamentary group in the Senate. Also because, at least for the moment, it is difficult to see a person, like Denis Verdini, who was able, at the time of Renzi as Prime Minister, to set up and direct a "similar party" like Ala : Alleanza liberalpopolare autonomie. Sui generis grouping, with an absolute leader, Denis himself, and a handful of hopeful peons.
It will be as it will be. In the meantime, however, Matteo Renzi's creature will once again have become central and indispensable in the balance of the only possible majority. Unless you think that Forza Italia is willing to sacrifice itself to favor the People's Advocate. Which, at least, is unlikely. And here is the overall meaning of this crisis: reaching a different balance, all to be defined. Especially to decipher. A new phase, therefore. With that small / large discontinuity, which from now on can be seen in perspective, even if it is difficult at the moment to measure its depth.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/vi-spiego-perche-per-m5s-e-pd-la-crisi-di-governo-non-sara-una-scampagnata/ on Tue, 26 Jan 2021 09:11:54 +0000.