With Draghi, America is calm: Italy will not slip under German influence. Fabbri’s analysis (Limes)
The relations between Italy and the USA, the NATO s ummit and the meeting between Biden and Putin commented by Dario Fabbri, analyst of Limes
The week ending saw the NATO Summit and the bilateral meeting between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin in Geneva. Both appointments served the US to reunite the North Atlantic European front in an anti-Chinese perspective.
Recompact the European front against China
“Meetings like the ones we have witnessed serve to confirm the rhetoric of the American administration – says Dario Fabbri, analyst of Limes, in his weekly point -. The Biden administration's greatest goal is to reunite the European front. The time has come for Washington to signal to the European satellites that the US is close and that it has no intention of dominating them without asking them about the events that really matter ”. Central to the US narrative was the containment of China , which has now become the second largest global economy. “During the G7, the spectacular victory of the American administration was found in the joint declarations of those who participated – continues the analyst from Limes -. Criticism of Chinese practices , criticism of China regarding the camps in which the Uighurs are confined and the unanimous request for a new investigation into the origin of the Wuhan virus ". The final statement of the NATO summit, finally, reported both Russia and China as main antagonists of the Atlantic alliance. “Dangerous individuals who want to overthrow the status quo”.
My insight for @limesonline dedicated to the American attempt to compact the European front against China and Russia.
The different skills designed for the governments of the continent. The resistance of the Germans (and the French). The effects on Italy https://t.co/ShHy7K7rg3
– Dario Fabbri (@dlfabbri) June 18, 2021
The outcome of the meeting between Putin and Biden
From the bilateral meeting in Geneva between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin it emerged that the US has every interest in keeping the relationship with Russia within the framework of predictability without escalating. “ At this stage it is as if the US wanted to divide NATO into two sections . On the one hand, there are the countries of Central Eastern Europe which, by history and inclination, are obsessed with Russia and which look to the US as the main architect of containment against Moscow – adds Fabbri -. Western European countries no longer view Russia as a danger. Here comes the second section of the future of the Atlantic alliance ”. The American objective would be to transfer the navy of Western European countries to the Indo-Pacific to make them participate in the containment of China.
The containment of China and concessions to Western European countries
To gather European consensus on foreign policy plans, the US made concessions to Western European countries: they accepted the doubling of the Nord Stream gas pipeline, the energy connection between Russia and Germany, strongly opposed by the Americans. “This signals in Berlin the US tolerance with respect to the project carried out for 97% as long as Germany reduces its intrinsicity with China – continues the expert in geopolitics and America -. The US has granted its European interlocutors a false feeling of guilt, they have admitted that the unilateral withdrawal from Afghanistan was announced without involving the European allies ”.
France and Germany put their feet up
European countries have received with impatience this new request for a US engagement. “Angela Merkel recalled how Washington and Berlin have a different vision of China's danger and that it is not certain that they must meet in opposing the Empire of the center – continues Dario Fabbri -. Even Macron , with the typical candor of the French, underlined that the last time he controlled China he was not in the Atlantic and that, therefore, formally it is outside the area of competence of NATO. In this way, telling the US that it would make no sense to channel forces into the Indo-Pacific ".
American asymmetries
According to Fabbri's analysis, the US is maintaining a double containment, milder towards Russia and more decisive towards China, for one reason only: to regain control of Europe. And Washington calls on European countries to "participate in an almost sentimental way" in Chinese containment.
Italy's reaction: detachment from Russia and China
Italy, after this clear US stance, will have to back down from the memorandum, signed only in 2019, on the Silk Road that had brought it closer to counter-globalization in Pekingese sauce. “ The advent of Draghi was caused by two main reasons. The first is to guarantee the flow of money guaranteed by Germany, through the issuance of bonds by the Commission, so that our country does not fall into default – explains the Limes analyst -. Draghi is there to signal our seriousness in managing the money. So it is in its place so that the US does not carry out a retaliation even against us considered too much within the German sphere of influence. To pursue this double objective, Draghi is imposing a turn that is detaching us from Russia, at least in a scenographic form, less in a substantial one. Furthermore, in the last few hours, Palazzo Chigi has communicated its intention to review the signature on the 2019 memorandum with the People's Republic of China ". And this is the main success achieved by the US in this past week in dealing with Europe while looking to China.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/con-draghi-lamerica-e-tranquilla-litalia-non-scivolera-sotto-linfluenza-tedesca-lanalisi-di-fabbri-limes/ on Sun, 20 Jun 2021 09:33:43 +0000.