Bookmakers see Trump as the winner. Profound change in the vote of blacks and Latins
On the occasion of the President's trip to Kenosha, a city battered by violence, a very interesting data indicates that the tide is turning. The bettors who bet on Trump's win outnumbered those who bet on Biden's win. for the first time after several months of contrary current:
This had not happened since June, just when the BLM and Antifa riot phenomenon broke out and it seemed that the mass media had built a strong majority in favor of Biden on this basis. the problem is that, obviously, these riots tire people out and create fear. And the bettors, who put their money on it, have felt this phenomenon.
What is driving this Trump recovery? A phenomenon that would seem astonishing: minorities vote more for the President now than they did in 2016.
For example, we see that black voters who will vote for Trump went from 8% in 2016 to 28% in 2020. 13% of Hispanics will also vote more Trump than in 2016, and we consider that this data was extracted from a poll that gave , slightly, Biden as the winner:
Among Black Voters:
Biden 66% (-23 vs 2016 results)
Trump 28% (+20)Among Hispanic Voters:
Biden 56% (-10)
Trump 41% (+13) https://t.co/4JdE2Sp3GY– Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 1, 2020
The fact is that three months of protest very often hit small businesses that are owned by the same minorities. Furthermore, insecurity has not spread among the rich in the upper neighborhoods, but among the poor in the suburbs, who often belong to those minorities that they wanted to protect.
The trip to Kenosha to see the destruction wrought during the "Mostly Peaceful" demonstrations, as CNN said as the shops burned down, was a communicative success. Biden is now forced to follow the motto "LAW AND ORDER", which however risks antagonizing a part of his electoral base. In two months we will see how this race will end.
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Article Bookmakers See Trump Winner. Profound change in the vote of blacks and Latins comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/i-bookmaker-vedono-trump-vincitore-profondo-cambiamento-nel-voto-dei-neri-e-dei-latini/ on Wed, 02 Sep 2020 15:50:38 +0000.