China: it is possible that there are now 5,000 deaths a day from covid. All the fault of the lockdowns
The latest wave of Covid-19 in China could be far more serious than the government claims, a British research firm reported, quoted by Reuters.
More than 5,000 people are likely dying every day from COVID-19 in China, according to health data company Airfinity, and the company's mortality risk analysis suggests that 1.3-2.1 million people could die in the country's current COVID epidemic . These figures are "in stark contrast to official data which reports 1,800 cases and just seven official deaths in the past week" and could derail the current recovery in oil prices and commodity prices in general. For example, oil prices should grow on the one hand due to the decline in reserves in the USA, but this resurgence of the covid-19 in China can lead, on the contrary, to a sharp decline due to lack of consumption from the world's largest importer.
A sharp reversal by China on its previous zero covid policy following the protests has raised global concerns about widespread infections among a vulnerable and under-vaccinated population. Three weeks ago, Beijing announced the most sweeping changes to its strict COVID-19 guidelines, including easing testing requirements and travel restrictions.
Additionally, people infected with Covid-19 but with no or mild symptoms can now isolate themselves at home instead of recovering in centrally managed facilities. China has also announced plans to stop tracking some travel, potentially reducing the likelihood of people being forced into quarantine for visiting COVID-19 hotspots.
The surprise announcement comes just a month after Beijing doubled down on Covid-19 measures, considered by many to be overly strict. For nearly three years, China has implemented some of the toughest pandemic control policies in the world, imposing relentless lockdowns across the country, closing borders and conducting large-scale COVID-19 testing to contain the virus' spread. But now the pendulum has reversed: According to Airfinity estimates, the surge could peak at 3.7 million a day in mid-January in regions where cases are currently rising, and 4.2 million a day in March in other provinces. Having suddenly opened after a very tight lockdown favored the spread of variants to which the population had gradually developed no immunity. In the end, the most liberal policy towards covid-19, which favored the creation of natural immunity, was the best.
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The article China: it is possible that there are now 5,000 deaths a day from covid. All the fault of the lockdowns comes from Economic Scenarios .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/cina-e-possibile-che-ora-ci-siano-5000-morti-al-giorni-per-il-covid-tutta-colpa-dei-lockdown/ on Sat, 24 Dec 2022 08:52:05 +0000.