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Foreign Affairs: US may not intervene if Iran attacks Israel

Iran has said it has asked the United States to "stand aside" as the country prepares a response to the suspected Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria, while Hezbollah, its main proxy in the Middle East, has warned the Jewish state to be ready for war.

In a written message to Washington, Iran “ warned the United States not to be drawn into Netanyahu's trap ,” Mohammad Jamshidi, the Iranian President's deputy chief of staff for political affairs, wrote in X, referring to the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The United States should “stand aside so as not to be affected.”

“In response, the United States asked Iran not to strike American targets,” Jamshidi said.

The United States has not commented on the alleged message sent by Iran, but it appears to be a sort of green light for Iranian retaliation. Israel is now truly alone. The Biden Netanyhau interview must have gone really badly.

President Joe Biden's administration took the unusual step of telling Iran directly that the United States had no knowledge of Monday's attack in Damascus, Bloomberg reported. This suggested that the United States was trying to prevent its forces and bases in the Middle East from being attacked.

The Islamic Republic has said it will give a "slap" to Israel, its archenemy. However, it is unclear when this will happen or whether Iran will seek to attack Israel directly or through one of its proxy groups such as Hezbollah, based in Lebanon.

The airstrike hit the Iranian consulate in Damascus, killing at least seven Iranians, including two generals. While Israel has repeatedly targeted Iran-linked assets in Syria in recent months, this was the first time an attack hit an Iranian diplomatic building.

Since then, Israel has been on high alert, canceling combat troops' leave, calling up reserves and strengthening air defenses. On Thursday, the army sent navigation signals over Tel Aviv to jam drones with GPS navigation or missiles that might be launched against the country.

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said on Friday that a response from Iran was undoubtedly on the way. But, he said, his group will not “interfere in such decisions.”

“And after that, how Israel behaves, the region will enter a new phase,” Nasrallah said in a televised speech.

Nasrallah, who lives in hiding, highlighted the coordinated work of Iran's so-called resistance groups in the region.

Hezbollah, the Middle East's most powerful militia, said the group had not used "its primary arsenal" in daily skirmishes with Israel along Lebanon's southern border since the war between Israel and Hamas began on October 7.

Hezbollah is “fully prepared and ready” for any war with Israel, its leader has confirmed.

Iranian missile launch

Iran has a wide choice of targets

The reaction could hit Israel directly with massive attacks, for example with waves of drones, or missiles launched directly from the Islamic country or from Lebanon and Syria. It is not impossible that we will see some sensational action with an attack on significant targets, such as the Israeli parliament.

There could also be attacks on Israeli diplomatic offices abroad, but Jerusalem is already prepared for this eventuality which, above all, would involve third countries.


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The article Foreign Affairs: US May Not Intervene If Iran Attacks Israel comes from Economic Scenarios .


This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/esteri-gli-usa-potrebbero-non-intervenire-se-liran-attaccasse-israele/ on Sat, 06 Apr 2024 05:00:43 +0000.