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Kabul? It will fall in a few months, even WaPo believes it

Even the Washington Post understood this and writes: “The Biden administration is preparing to bring down the capital of Afghanistan much sooner than feared only a few weeks ago, as a rapid disintegration of security has prompted the revision of an assessment already strict intelligence that predicts that Kabul could be occupied within six to 12 months of the US military's departure, according to current and former US officials familiar with the matter . Given the time already elapsed, a huge Game Over can be written

The outlook is such that US officials are said to be debating whether to keep the huge and highly secured embassy in Kabul open as well; however, they ensure that plans remain the same to keep it running with hundreds of additional military security personnel on guard. A nice mix is ​​being prepared between Baghdad's “Green Zone” and the American Embassy in Tehran in 1979. It's incredible how politicians ignore history and have short memories.

Biden said the US spent $ 1 trillion and trained 300,000 troops for twenty years in Afghanistan, all to see these forces dissolve faster than they did in the 1970s in southern Viet Nam. Biden is said to be speaking. of "Mission Accomplished" next 11 September. In what sense accomplished?

The US realizes the difficulty of the situation, but the Pentagon no longer has troops on the ground. It will support the Afghan government forces from the air, but if they are gone, what will they support? Air support loses all sense without ground troops.

The Russians have taken note that the border with Tajikistan and Uzbekistan is now in the hands of the Taliban, so much so that last week they conducted large exercises with the armed forces of these two countries precisely to prepare them to repel any infiltrations, all starting from the experience made in Syria.

Meanwhile, the Taliban say they have no interest in the ceasefire talks, with Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid telling Axios on Wednesday: “ We have never given in to any foreign pressure tactics before and we don't even intend to to capitulate soon ". By now they see victory one step away, why should they back away now?


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The Kabul article ? It will fall in a few months, the WaPo also believes it comes from ScenariEconomici.it .


This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/kabul-cadra-in-pochi-mesi-lo-crede-anche-il-wapo/ on Thu, 12 Aug 2021 07:04:23 +0000.