The breakup of the EU and the expansion of the Anglosphere in Continental Europe

Do you know what the consequences of the ongoing war between the European Parliament, the Commission and Poland – Hungary will be? The rupture of the EU and the creation of a new political-military alliance that will refer directly to the Anglosphere.

First point: Brexit has led to a natural rapprochement of the countries of the so-called Anglosphere. AUKUS and strengthening of the ties of the United Kingdom with many Commonwealth countries are no coincidence, but an obvious effect as the world starts to be multi-centric and old ties are recovered. This will happen whoever is in the US presidency, Trump or Biden, it is indifferent.

Second Point: NATO is increasingly losing its containment mission of Russia first, and of the Eastern bloc now. The presence of Erdogan's Turkey, clearly double agent, of a Germany unable to find its own world position, the resounding failure of the last mission in Afghanistan and the French discontent towards the new Anglophone bloc are leading to a division in the western bloc;

Third Point: German energy policy, led by the SPD since Merkel's time, has brought Western Europe to its knees in the face of Russian energy supplies. Schoeder, the former Social Democratic Chancellor who later took over as head of Nord Stream 2, is the real enemy of the EU. It is no coincidence that the Social Democrats support the policies against coal (but not against natural gas … we see that CO2 is different in the two forms of carbon) of the Greens, to the point of being ready to cause a European energy crisis.

Fourth Point: Germany's pro-Russian shift politically uncovers the countries of the Visegrad bloc which, at this point, no longer feel covered by either NATO or the EU. So the way opens for a new alliance.

In recent days, news has appeared in the English newspapers of contacts between the United Kingdom and the countries of the Visegrad block to create a common block in the containment of the political power of France. A rather obvious union of interests. Macron and his acolytes are the major political enemies of the conservative governments of the Visegrad countries or the Alliance of the Three Seas, while London seeks support to end the Brexit game, especially in Northern Ireland, but also in the area of ​​rights of exploitation of fishing.

Normally this strategy would fail: the UK is no longer the British empire, the US doesn't get it right, not even by mistake, Australia and Canada are marginal and distant. However, Boris Johnson's greatest ally resides between Brussels and Strasbourg: while Merkel invites to negotiate with Poland and Hungary on the question of the rule of law and the constitutional conflict, a reasonable Real Politik solution, the prime minister humiliated himself in Straburg Polish. These choices are never good and lead to long-term consequences. Even if the political majorities in Warsaw and Budapest changed, the problems of international positioning would not change. It would take a moderate conversion of Parliament and the Commission, but we know that maximalism is a childhood disease that cannot be cured even as an elderly person.

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The article The breakup of the EU and the expansion of the Anglosphere in Continental Europe comes from ScenariEconomici.it .

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This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/la-rottura-della-ue-e-lespansione-dellanglosfera-nelleuropa-continentale/ on Thu, 21 Oct 2021 08:00:17 +0000.