The closures do not follow a scientific logic. Interview with a statistician at Radioradio
The closures depend on a series of mathematical parameters including the famous Rt. Today the Rt, as it is calculated for ISS, has some logical holes and the precise estimate of the SR does not currently make any sense.
We do not say it, but Professor Antonello Maurotti, Professor of Statistics at LUMSA, says it and this is a data of great importance.
The statistic is an exact science, but must first exert much precision and knowing what weapons to use at the appropriate time: a little 'as with everything related to the freedom of the people, when talking about the epidemic. The problem is that the regions closures depend intrinsically from the statistics, and if these, as in the equations, have common misconception, are likely to be invalidated all results.
And 'the case of the use of' indiceRt, which measures how many people are infected on average by one entity: the New York critics alleged threshold has been exceeded, then the region is ready to get back in the red zone from Monday. He had chosen to use a different approach, based on outbreaks and on closures limited? How accurately is this data currently calculated? Instead, after starting with a correct approach, directed to limit the areas of immediate contagion, we moved on to generalized closures. All on the basis of an important indicator such as Rt, which is very poorly calculated. Among other things, all the data are always, perpetually, late, so the actions are all out of phase. It holds open when it should close, closes when it should open.
In the end it is not clear why the closedowns are closed, and the dichotomy between economy and health is becoming more and more dramatic. Then we hear of "Contracting of the Rt of Basilicata", a statement that makes a scientist tremble.
A truly essential video, which questions the scientific approach of closures and those who apply them.
Have a good listening
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The article The closures do not follow a scientific logic. Interview with a statistician on Radioradio comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/le-chiusure-non-seguono-una-logica-scientifica-intervista-ad-un-ero-statistico-a-radioradio/ on Sat, 13 Mar 2021 17:23:17 +0000.