The four international crises that threaten to blow up 2023

Will 2023 be a year of extremely destructive conflicts erupting around the world? Of course we are already living in a time of tensions and there are really hot spots globally. Should other major conflicts suddenly erupt next year, we could see a prolonged period of geopolitical instability never seen before. It's easy to start wars, but it's much harder to end them. If you doubt it, just look at what is happening in Ukraine. There is no end in sight to this conflict and there are many more wars that could literally break out at any moment.

Below are four global hot spots that could erupt during early 2023, plus Ukraine…

1. Serbia Are you ready for another war in the Balkans? Ethnic tensions have risen to their highest level in more than two decades and the President of Serbia has just called an emergency meeting of his National Security Council… Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić has convened his National Security Council as Kosovo builds tension between the authorities and the Serb ethnic group. A stun grenade was thrown at EU police on Saturday in northern Kosovo, where Serbs are in the majority, and local police exchanged fire with unknown groups. Ethnic Serbs have set up roadblocks after Kosovo police intervened in a dispute over number plates. Some in the region believe that war is “inevitable” and Kosovo is already asking NATO to intervene… In a press conference held on Sunday in Pristina, the capital of Kosovo, Prime Minister Albin Kurti called on the Kosovo Force (KFOR), a international peace force led by NATO, to guarantee "freedom of movement", accusing "criminal gangs" of blocking the roads, but KFOR, under Italian command, is trying to avoid excessive clashes. Kosovo has maintained a fragile peace since declaring independence from Serbia in 2008, following the 1998-99 war in which NATO intervened to protect Kosovo's Albanian majority. Serbia does not recognize the independence of Kosovo.
2. China-India border conflict We learned on Tuesday that there was another violent clash along the heavily disputed border between China and India… Soldiers from India and China clashed last week along their disputed border, he India's defense minister said on Tuesday, in the latest outbreak of violence along the disputed border since June 2020, when troops from both countries were killed in a deadly brawl. Rajnath Singh, addressing lawmakers in parliament, said Friday's clash along the Tawang sector in the eastern state of Arunachal Pradesh began when Chinese troops "invaded Indian territory" and "unilaterally tried to change the status quo” along the disputed border near the Yangtze. The Chinese just can't stop provoking India, and a full-blown conflict between the two nations could escalate quickly and out of control. Let's hope that doesn't happen, because both China and India have nuclear weapons.
3. Taiwan We have been warned for a long time that China will eventually invade Taiwan. Sadly, tensions in the region continue to escalate, and the Chinese sent more bombers to the Taiwan Air Defense Zone on Tuesday than ever… China has sent a record number of 18 nuclear-capable bombers to the Taiwan Air Defense Zone, said Taipei on Tuesday (December 13), just days after Beijing banned more Taiwanese imports in the latest sign of deteriorating ties. but democratic Taiwan lives under the constant threat of invasion from China, which sees the self-ruled island as part of its territory to be conquered one day.
4. Iran and Israel. Israel and Iran have always been at loggerheads, and the situation does not seem likely to improve. Of course, the IDF has already hit Iranian-backed forces on a regular basis inside Syria, but we should be thankful that a full-blown war has not yet broken out in which missiles fly back and forth between the two nations Unfortunately, we are more closer than ever at this point. Indeed, it is reported that Israel is warning that it may bomb Beirut airport “if it establishes that Iran is smuggling weapons on civilian aircraft”… According to Israeli media reports, Israel has warned Lebanon that the Defense Forces Israelis could bomb Beirut airport if it determines that Iran is smuggling weapons on civilian planes destined for terrorist group Hezbollah. The alleged arms smuggling was reported by the London Arabic-language newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat, which cited Israeli sources as saying Israel had issued the warning. Without forgetting that Israel will hardly tolerate the emergence of an enemy nuclear power in the area, just as Iran announces an increase in its uranium processing capacity. When a full-blown war between Iran and Israel finally begins, neither side will be able to back down. The death and destruction that such a war will cause will shock the entire world and the global oil trade will be thrown into a state of complete and utter chaos.

What can we say now… let's hope that none of these crises come true.

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The article The four international crises that threaten to explode in 2023 comes from Scenari Economici .

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This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/le-quattro-crisi-internazionali-che-rischiano-di-far-esplodere-il-2023/ on Sun, 18 Dec 2022 08:11:27 +0000.