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Trump would crush Biden if the vote were held today

According to a new Wall Street Journal poll, President Biden is in dire straits: His political position is now at the weakest point of his presidency.

The poll shows Biden trailing former President Donald Trump by 4 percentage points in a hypothetical 2024 vote, a gap that widens with the inclusion of third-party candidates expected to change normal bipartisan prospects.

Antipathy towards Biden is now widespread: only 23% of voters believe they have had a positive impact from Biden's policies, in stark contrast to the nostalgic economic reminiscence of the Trump era. The term “Bidenomics,” once a banner of hope, now flags with less than 30% approval, reflecting widespread disillusionment. No wonder the White House has stopped using this term .

The Democratic President faces serious perception problems.

Voters believe Trump is a better choice than Biden on border security (by 30 percentage points), controlling inflation (by 21 points) and building the economy (by 17 points). Biden leads on abortion policy and voters say he respects democracy more than Trump. But the president is seen as no better than Trump when it comes to reducing drug costs, a key Democratic initiative. – WSJ

“If the race is about policy and performance, Donald Trump has a significant advantage,” said Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio, who conducted the Journal poll along with Democrat Michael Bocian. “If the race is about temperament and character, things like that, then Biden has the advantage.” But now people want results, not do-goodism.

The survey also highlights a dissonance between public economic pessimism and recent positive economic indicators, such as robust GDP and low unemployment.

The President has changed his messages on the economy to focus more on controlling inflation rather than creating jobs. Creating high-wage jobs has been a central goal of Democratic-backed legislation that funded new infrastructure and manufacturing, but voters see jobs as less of a concern than high prices. The White House recently unveiled new supply chain advice that aims in part to stem inflation, and Biden recently called on companies to “stop excessive pricing.”

The president and his campaign have also amplified attention on Trump's most controversial comments, such as his description of opponents as "parasites" and his declaration last week that he would be a dictator on "day one" — particularly to close the border and open more land for oil drilling – suggesting an authoritarian approach to a potential second Trump term. Trump's allies say Democrats are trying to distract from economic issues and problems at the southern border. -WSJ

In the meantime, however, the presence of third-party candidates, such as Robert F Kennedy jr, takes away a considerable number of votes from the two main candidates, deciding the elections.

Of course, the Journal also found an independent voter who never voted for Trump, Michelle Bannon, who says the former president is "not qualified at all," adding: "I don't know if Biden can last another four years, but I'll cross fingers and I will vote for him. It's the lesser evil."


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The article Trump would crush Biden if we voted today comes from Economic Scenarios .


This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/trump-schiaccerebbe-biden-se-si-votasse-oggi/ on Mon, 11 Dec 2023 06:15:29 +0000.