US presidential elections: polls for Joe Biden are getting worse and worse
Recent polls, including those from the New York Times/Siena College, have begun to show Trump ahead in key swing states. These polls are significant indicators of Biden's electoral challenges. “Among the latest polls this month from 13 separate pollsters, Biden's standing is worse than in previous polls in all but two,” highlighting growing concern about Biden's campaign, Politico reports.
Trump ahead in crucial states
New York Times/Siena College polls in early November showed Trump leading in four of six key swing states. This trend is reinforced by other polls, which consistently place Biden in a weaker position than before in head-to-head matchups against Trump. Notably, Trump's national polling average is currently higher than at any point in the past year.
Biden's approval rating fell to 38% in the FiveThirtyEight average earlier this month, the lowest since July 2022. Likewise, when Biden hit 40% in the RealClearPolitics average this month, it was its lowest reading since August 2022.
Meanwhile, Trump's numbers are rising. Dating back just over a year ago, the RealClearPolitics average had Trump hovering between 42% and 46% in a head-to-head matchup with Biden. Not only did Trump surpass 46% for the first time earlier this month, but this week he surpassed 47%, roughly equal to his share of the vote in the 2020 election. -Politic
Despite a significant advertising campaign to bolster his numbers, polls in states such as Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania show Trump in the lead. Additionally, Trump is ahead in six of seven swing states examined by Morning Consult and Bloomberg News, including a notable 8-point lead in Arizona and 5-point lead in Michigan.
Trump leads Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — with or without independent names in the mix.
View more: https://t.co/zVoyscacZI pic.twitter.com/CB5L9dmniW
— Morning Consult (@MorningConsult) November 19, 2023
According to the monitoring company AdImpact, since mid-August Biden and the Democratic National Committee have spent around 12 million dollars on television advertising spots in various states, but it seems without much success.
The changing demographics of young voters
One particularly surprising result comes from last week's NBC News poll, which indicates Trump's lead over Biden among voters under 35, a 46% to 42% split. This is a significant shift, considering that young voters have historically skewed toward Democratic candidates. Other polls, such as those from Morning Consult, Fox News and Quinnipiac University, also show Biden holding only a narrow lead in this demographic.
Uncertainty about the impact of
The role of third-party candidates in the upcoming elections remains uncertain. Pollsters have not yet consistently included independent candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West or Green Party candidate Jill Stein in their polls. However, the inclusion of these candidates in the polls shows mixed signals regarding their impact on the electoral race between Biden and Trump. Biden's current deficit does not appear to stem from third-party candidacies, but their presence in the race could further complicate his path to recovery, especially if they draw support from key voter groups such as young people.
Obviously these polls are causing panic, because they could lead to a GOP majority in both chambers. A disaster for the Dems.
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The article US Presidential elections: polls for Joe Biden are getting worse and worse comes from Scenari Economici .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/presidenziali-usa-sempre-peggio-i-sondaggi-per-joe-biden/ on Mon, 27 Nov 2023 11:30:25 +0000.