Were the deaths of Covid in China really 170 times those reported?
According to an analyst, the Chinese government has underestimated the death rate from COVID-19 by up to 17,000 percent in a systematic data suppression campaign to bolster its political image, according to a US analyst. 17,000 percent is 170 times …
This would bring the death toll from COVID-19 in China to about 1.7 million instead of 4,636, the cumulative two-year figure that the Chinese authorities have kept on their books. That's 366 times the official figure.
These calculations were made by George Calhoun, director of the quantitative finance program at the Stevens Institute of Technology, and are based on January data generated by a model developed by The Economist.
The vast majority of officially registered deaths in China came from Wuhan during the first three months of the pandemic, with only hundreds more reported in the rest of the country.
The Chinese regime has reported only two additional deaths since April 1, 2020, ranking China as the country with the lowest COVID-19 death rate in the world, including Zhong Nanshan, the Chinese epidemiologist who oversees the response to outbreaks in China. , he only bragged last week. "This is impossible, statistically impossible, medically impossible," Professor Calhoun told NTD .
Indeed, zero deaths in a nation that alone accounts for more than an eighth of the world's population is a very, very
"We remember that, in 2020 there was no vaccine, there was no treatment, " he said. " So there was an unprotected population that showed zero deaths from COVID, even though they've had tens of thousands of cases ."
By curating past public records and research reports and analyzing how the regime has silenced scandals in the past, Calhoun has come to a conclusion that seems obvious to him: China has made its zero-COVID policy a political objective and is systematically falsifying data to support the claim.
“ Someone posted a message at the end of Q1 and 2020 and said, 'Okay, we want to see zero COVID. This is our policy. ' And it became zero-COVID, ”the researcher said.
Anomalies
The first "smoking gun" is a sudden drop in COVID-19 deaths since April 2020 from mainland China after a "furious" infection rate, Calhoun said.
From April 1, 2020 to January 8, 2022, more than 22,102 cases were reported in mainland China, according to data from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center. Only two deaths were recorded in the same period.
By comparison, Hong Kong, which accounted for about half of COVID-19 infections over the period, reported 213 deaths.
The death rate (the percentage of infected people who died) in Wuhan during the first three months of the pandemic averaged about 7.7%, more than five times that in the United States and four times the world average.
Case death rate in Wuhan compared to other parts of the world. (Courtesy of George Calhoun)
Two scenarios are possible: either the virus was "much more lethal in early 2020 in Wuhan than anywhere else, at any other time," or alternatively, the official infection numbers from China were too small by a factor of three or four, Calhoun said.
Over the next 20 months, there was a consistent lack of COVID-19 data from China. As of September, China has become the only country in the world that has not provided complete data on excess mortality – unexplained deaths beyond normal trends that may offer a rough estimate of uncounted COVID deaths, a poll from the 'University of Washington.
The Economist model seeks to fill this data gap. Based on the model, Calhoun said that excess mortality in China has decreased by about 17,000 percent. This discrepancy, he added, also exceeds those of countries involved in large-scale civil unrest, such as Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan and Venezuela, which have underestimated the COVID-19 death rate by up to 1,100 percent.
So according to this model, the deaths in China were only 170 times those reported. Now maybe it won't, but it almost certainly wasn't just two. On the contrary, it is interesting that European countries have had a number of deaths approximately equal to the actual ones, if not even higher …
Could it be true?
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The article Were there really 170 times the deaths of Covid in China reported? comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/veramente-i-morti-di-covid-in-cina-sono-stati-170-volte-quelli-dichiarati/ on Sun, 16 Jan 2022 16:13:46 +0000.