All divisions left and right on the administrative (and not only)
Administrative elections: facts, names, insights and scenarios. Paola Sacchi's note
Administrative with the center-right that speaks different languages, even on the referendum of justice, on which it is not committed in the same way; on the other hand, with the center-left still struggling today with the nightmare of the "photo of Narni" which did not bring luck in 2019 to the yellow-red alliance. And that, beyond the defeat at the Regionals in Umbria, is still there with the image of the leaders (Zingaretti, in place of Letta, Conte in the center and Di Maio) to symbolize on a national scale the difficulties of the "large field" of left. And this is the first significant turning point after "the photo of Narni" that the Democratic Party will return, albeit in not many realities, to an organic alliance with the Five Stars. But the center-right also has its problems. Even if a possible victory, as many polls predict, in Palermo and Genoa could help the coalition a lot. Which will only be divided into five municipalities. But they are not insignificant, among them Catanzaro, Verona, Viterbo.
The center-right is not even united by the same intensity in the battle for the referendum on justice. The League, which promotes it with the Radicals, is in the front line for five Yes, for which there have also been appeals by Silvio Berlusconi with Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia is for three Yes, but his campaign for the referendums so far it has been much less visible than that of the League in the first place. The Via Bellerio party, even with the hunger strike of one of its historical figures such as Roberto Calderoli, vice president of the Senate, is denouncing the "gag" put to the consultation during Matteo Salvini's tour from North to South. Salvini has launched an appeal to Draghi and Mattarella for this. And during the many rallies he pointed his finger "on a left that uses the courts against political opponents". Appeals against "the political use of justice" also from Berlusconi. Giorgia Meloni, interviewed by "La Verità" yesterday, assures that FdI will campaign for three Yes, but the Ligurian manager Edoardo Rixi, a big part of the League, in a tweet attacks the "lack of support from allies and non-allies, who prefer to close the eyes". A controversial commentary: "But is the Palamara system okay for someone?". If the quorum is missing, as seems to be expected, a painless debate is not expected. However, what seems to divide the center-right, shaken by a leadership struggle, is above all the approach to the policies of 2023. Meloni, given the advantage by all the polls, reiterates that the prime minister will be, "according to the rules", the leader of the coalition party that will have taken the most votes. And now in the spotlight is the eventual overtaking of FdI on the League in the Northern Municipalities to vote. Berlusconi reiterated that "Forza Italia, a European, Atlantic, Christian and guarantor center, is the backbone of a united coalition, in its diversity". Salvini also last night on TV, at “Quarta Repubblica”, issued a warning to FdI: “It will only be divided into a few municipalities, where unfortunately FdI has chosen to divide the coalition. But I realize that the center-right will join forces with the 2023 policies ”, in the name of a common overall vision. Will the very important victories of Palermo and Genoa be enough, if there will be, to restart the coalition divided between the center-right of the government and the right of the opposition? As for the center-left, the difficulties of the "wide" field, which however seems increasingly narrow, are in the spotlight, despite the much more favorable media treatment than that reserved for the center-right. Will Letta's "atlantism" be enough to cover the cracks of an alliance baptized by the "photo of Narni"?
And above all it will be the so-called "Atlantic bipolarism" (Letta-Meloni) – with variations on the theme, flatly denied by the president of FdI and the leader of the Democratic Party – opposed by the mainstream media to a sort of "populist, pro-Putinian" and what else, with a trio that would unite Salvini-Berlusconi-Conte, the key to political reorganization? The differences between Berlusconi and Conte are very reminiscent of the Atlantic, in the sense of the ocean. But even those between Conte and Salvini do not seem to be outdone. Starting with waste-to-energy, nuclear power, taxes and so on. The League pulled the plug from the first government of the current pentastellato leader on the Tav. Last night Salvini was tranchant: “Little understanding with Conte? Less than zero. Opposing world views ". Very harsh words from the Northern League leader also on citizenship income which he contrasts "flat tax and scrapping of tax bills", not even the minimum wage, "I prefer minimum taxes".
The crisis of the Draghi government is highly unlikely. But it will not be Putin's war on Ukraine alone and the Atlanticist rate-based "narrative" that will bring about a political structure that is not a little disrupted, shattered on direct internal politics issues, starting with those connected to the economic crisis, albeit of clear derivation from the international one. While the chances for a return to proportional representation seem scarce, to the disappointment of a Pd who tries to free himself from the five-star grip, to try to be the pivot of the system again. But the center-right, despite everything, is always at the top of the polls.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/amministrative-centrodestra-centrosinistra/ on Tue, 07 Jun 2022 05:23:48 +0000.