Because Biden like Trump won’t be too anti-Russia. Fabbri’s analysis (Limes)
“US policy has long ago decided to open up to Russia, the son Bush had decided, confirmed by Obama and Trump. Sooner or later, once the phase of tension had been overcome, Biden would have approached Russia by making proposals also from an anti-Chinese perspective ”. The analysis by Dario Fabbri (Limes)
The Arctic Council , the annual forum that brings together representatives of the eight Arctic countries, was held last week.
What is the Arctic Council
The Arctic Council is the multilateral forum that brings together NATO members with the main ally of the Atlantic alliance, Russia. The international intergovernmental organization was founded in 1996 by the eight Arctic nations: Canada , Denmark , Finland , Iceland , Norway , Russia , Sweden and the United States . The forum promotes, among other things, greater coordination and closer cooperation between Arctic states and cannot, by regulation, deal with military and security issues. On the sidelines of the summit, US Secretary of State Tony Blinken and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov met in private. During the long conversation they discussed multiple dossiers ranging from the situation in the Middle East, to the Arctic, to Europe passing through human rights and the fate of a couple of American prisoners still present in the Russian federation. “Beyond this, the most important sentence uttered by Blinken is“ what Washington expects from the relationship with Russia is stability ”. This is the main aspect on which we need to reflect ”, says Limes analyst Dario Fabbri .
The internal malaise of the USA
The United States has considerable internal malaise, as made plastically by the assault on Capitol Hill. "They can only reflect this malaise outward and Russia is the enemy par excellence, it is the easily intelligible subject of overseas society against which to direct the arrows and the anger that is inside the country", continues Fabbri. Nonetheless, today we are witnessing a cooling of these tensions. The crisis regarding Ukraine has also subsided, the US has given way to a detente vis-à-vis Moscow. For what reason? Due to several factors. “The US economy has started to grow again . The vaccination campaign is going in an excellent way, in the USA there is the illusion that the domestic front has become somewhat tamed, that those tensions that had to be conducted towards the outside have been dissolved – adds Fabbri -. This is why we can take a step back from the usual enemy ".
The meeting between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin
On the sidelines of the meeting between foreign ministers, a possible summit between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin was discussed. “This is because there is the presumption that the internal crisis in the USA is less intense today than it was just a few months ago and we can afford to be less aggressive towards Russia – continues Fabbri in his weekly point -. The second reason that induced this attitude is the American awareness that one cannot go beyond a certain tension . The international situation smiles on the USA, which is the subject that fares better than its antagonists such as Russia or China ”. In essence, the US does not take the tension beyond the alert level because a deep crisis is suitable for those who want to upset the status quo certainly not for those who see the status quo as a favorable ground.
Tensions between Washington and Berlin
The US also has an open front with Berlin “so they cannot have the same tension with Russia as they have with Germany – adds the Limes analyst -. They lowered it, they suspended the sanctions against the company that is carrying out the doubling of Nord Stream between Russia and Germany although they have left the threat of sanctions ".
The relationship between Iran and the USA
The US has also started negotiations with Tehran. “This is not an opening of sympathy for the Islamic Republic – underlines Fabbri -. The US tactical attitude towards the Middle East is always the same, avoiding that an internal or external power dominates the region ”. Today Iran has great difficulties , the problem of the area is Turkey, "So the US needs to sign a truce with Iran, disguised as a nuclear agreement, and the Russians are part of this negotiation". At the same time, however, Turkey is useful to Washington in an anti key anti Iranian , anti Russian and in the Mediterranean. However, “Turkey, as the crisis between Israel and Palestine demonstrates, is increasing its influence. She remained the last champion of the Palestinian cause – continues the Limes expert -. Erdogan on the phone with Pope Francis invited the self-styled international community to intervene to stop Israel demonstrating how Ankara uses the Palestinian cause for imperial purposes ”.
The conflict between deep state and US politics
The chessboard of international politics is the field of choice for the apparatuses of the American deep state. “The US apparatuses have not dissolved their reservations on what to do with Russia , on the contrary they continue to maintain this ungrammatical approach because they fear losing absolute control of the European continent if they leave Russia free to roam in Europe – explains Fabbri -. But American politics has long ago decided to open up to Russia , the son Bush had decided, confirmed by Obama and Trump . Sooner or later, once the phase of tension had been overcome, Biden would have approached Russia trying to talk and making proposals also from an anti-Chinese perspective ”. These should be the topics of the next conversation between Putin and Biden. The meeting between the two heads of state should not have macroscopic results . “The apparatuses have not yet decided what to do so the meeting will not produce much. Biden will say he is genuinely ready to open in Moscow. He will treat Putin as if he were an old acquaintance, but the American apparatuses are moving in the opposite direction ”. It is no coincidence that in the last few hours Washington has announced the opening of new four bases in Norway in which to insert the military priors, an anti-Russian move in the Arctic. “While American politics opens or would like to open in Moscow at the same time, the deep state increases anti-Russian containment – concludes Fabbri -. We will have to pay attention to what will happen when there is, if any, the meeting between Biden and Putin that should smooth out this apparent schizophrenia in bilateral relations ”.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/perche-biden-come-trump-non-sara-troppo-anti-russia-lanalisi-di-fabbri-limes/ on Sun, 06 Jun 2021 05:50:27 +0000.