Because Biden will push the EU to wage war with the US against China
What will change for Europe with China if Biden wins the US presidential election? The South China Morning Post insight
The presidential elections in America are not only valuable in themselves; they will also determine the future of relations between America and Europe, but also the relationship between America and Europe together on the one hand and China on the other.
This is what the South China Morning Post suggests in one of its insights into the US elections, in which the Hong Kong newspaper attempted to explain what changes will take place between the two sides of the Atlantic after November 3 and how these changes will affect the relationship of both America and Europe with China.
Of course, there is general consensus that a Trump victory will mean another four years of rhetoric against transatlantic values, leaving relations between Washington and Brussels to a minimum.
THE SCENARIOS WITH TRUMP AND BIDEN
This means that the EU will find itself isolated in the management of relations with Beijing and that it will therefore seek a modus vivendi that allows the relationship to run normally.
If, on the other hand, on November 3 Joe Biden were to establish himself at the polls, the music would change: all the analysts, former diplomats and political scientists heard by the SCMP agree that a victory by the former vice president would open the possibility of a new cooperation between the US and the EU. as regards the management of the relationship with China.
WORD OF AMBASSADOR
"A Biden presidency will behave more intelligently in dealing with China than we have done in the last four years", is the belief of Anthony Gardner, US ambassador to the EU at the time of Obama, for example.
Many, on the other hand, from the parts of Brussels, remember the words of praise that Biden wove of European civilization during his trip as vice-president to Brussels in 2010.
"It will be easier to cooperate with the EU than it was possible during the current administration, also because no one wanted to do Donald Trump any favors", is Gardner's belief that "it is now possible a time when the US and the EU can actually get along on many issues with regard to trade and China ”.
RELATIONS WITH CHINA
On the surface, in fact, the reasons for complaints by the US towards China tend to coincide with those of the EU towards Beijing: lack of market access, lack of a level playing field, poor intellectual protection.
US-EU CONVERGENCES ON CHINA
The themes are so similar, observes the SCMP; that any negotiations with China would inevitably tend to resemble the one started by Washington with Beijing.
David O'Sullivan, who was EU ambassador to the US until last year, expects a "more constructive dialogue on these issues, trying to find solutions that will be good for both Americans and Europeans".
THE EXPLORATIONS OF CHINA
Beijing has already sensed these possibilities on the horizon, and has made its consequent moves.
Beyond the virtual summit on investment in which Chinese President Xi was confronted with the elite of the EU, Beijing sent two high-ranking diplomats on tour to Europe this summer – Foreign Minister Wang Yi and member Politburo Yang Jiechi – just to test the waters.
THE SOLICITATIONS OF BIDEN
Before thinking that it will all be an idyll, it will be good to remember that Julianne Smith, transatlantic and Chinese affairs adviser for Biden, wrote an essay in Foreign Affairs magazine a year ago in which she urged the EU to go on the attack together. to the US of Chinese market distortions and to join forces with the US to jointly develop an alternative to the Belt and Road Initiative.
WHAT WILL CHANGE FOR EUROPE
Smith also called on Europeans to work with Americans to "counter Chinese influence in their political systems".
As O'Sullivan concluded, "ironically, a Biden victory will make life more difficult for the Europeans" because the former no. 2 of Obama "intends to push Europeans in directions very far from their comfort zone".
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/perche-biden-spingera-lue-a-guerreggiare-con-gli-usa-contro-la-cina/ on Tue, 06 Oct 2020 05:50:33 +0000.