Because the future ruling coalition cannot fail to be Euro-Atlanticist
The analysis by Germano Dottori, a geopolitical analyst and scientific advisor to Limes
It is clear that Italy is particularly suffering from the consequences of the war that is ravaging Ukraine, but the message that Draghi is sending is that it is not possible unilaterally to withdraw from sanctions without paying a very high price.
The public debt of the Italian Republic is traveling towards the unenviable milestone of 3 trillion euros. Given that we do not have a central bank that is willing to finance it at the bottom of the list, there is a dependence of our country on international financial markets that cannot be ignored.
These are not abstract entities. It also includes Italian savers who subscribe the securities directly or through their trusted bank. To survive, our state needs a good reputation, which is built day after day through clear and understandable choices, of which foreign policy are among the most important.
In fact, the major international press also contributes to the determination of creditworthiness, a fact of which Draghi has always been aware. It is for this reason that there should be no ambiguity regarding the positioning of our country. After all, this is precisely what the premier wanted to remember at the recent meeting in Rimini.
The foregoing has clear implications: the government that will be born after the next elections cannot fail to have a majority that shares the fundamental features of our country's foreign policy as it has been defined since 1948.
Giorgia Meloni also seems to have noticed this circumstance, who leads the party currently credited with the highest number of preferences among Italian voters and it is no coincidence that she talks with Draghi. On this basis, Rino Formica has identified for the outgoing premier a future role as a "lord protector", an effective formula that alludes to a guarantee function that Draghi should perform with our interlocutors, on behalf of those who will govern.
But is it really possible that the former European central banker can honor such a delicate mission without being personally involved in the political events that will unfold a few weeks from now? How will Draghi be the guarantor of Italy without being directly in the government? All of this, of course, leads to assessments that cannot be anticipated today, depending on the results of the elections and the way in which our major partners and international markets will react to subsequent developments.
In the event of a storm, a high lightning rod will be needed. Any coalition that is not cemented by a certain Atlanticism and a solid Europeanism, not necessarily passive in the defense of the national interest, will be inherently fragile. Precisely for this reason, the list of possible coalitions after the vote is larger than what the voters will find on the ballots.
(Extract from an article published in Domani )
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/nuovo-governo-atlantismo-europeismo/ on Sun, 25 Sep 2022 06:09:13 +0000.