Here is who works for a Count-ter
What will happen to Conte after Renzi's move? The comment by Federico Punzi, editorial director of Atlantico Quotidiano
Why open the crisis right now?
Timing in politics can also tell a lot about motivations. We must certainly not believe that Renzi was deluding himself, a year and a half ago, when he claimed to have given birth to him, on the nature of Conte or of the 5 Stars.
Although the reasons of merit he cited are all well founded, the former prime minister has come out of time to make himself credible: Italy is – not from today – a negative model in the response to the virus, record of victims, closures, restrictions on fundamental freedoms and economic damage; the additional debt money granted by Parliament (over 100 billion) the government has mostly squandered or unspent; the "full powers" Conte took them last February and the serious constitutional violations continued in the silence of all at least until late autumn.
After how many Dpcm Renzi noticed it? How many budget variances did Italia Viva vote before realizing that the money was being misused? No, Renzi cannot cling to the alibi – which Salvini can instead appeal to – that he did not know his gambling companions. Not companions in adventure, because it was not an adventure, but a gamble on the skin of the Italians.
We are still in emergency and a few months after the white semester. The 5 Stars would make false cards, would vote anyone and anything, in order not to return to the vote early (see the desperate "all in" by Grillo). But above all because the Democratic Party has a single goal in mind from the beginning: to secure the highest office with the minimum of votes – the presidency of the Republic – even for the seven years from 2022 onwards. Naturally assisted in this by President Mattarella.
Other than the pandemic, these are the only reasons why "you can't" vote. Total bluff were the Quirinale's showcases on the risk of early elections in the event of a crisis. But bluffs are also the showgirls who warn that the president would not be willing to baptize a gathering majority. Anything, just to avoid early elections. Any, at any cost. As always, a gathering majority will be made, then with the help of the supporting media, and “my lady, there is an emergency!”, We will think about how to present it to the country.
Renzi, who has nothing to lose, knows these things, so he opened the games. And be careful, because in yesterday's press conference, closing to all alternatives (no ruling on Conte, no "turnaround" with the center-right ", no to the vote), the former prime minister actually opened to a Conte-ter. It is, therefore.
But we believe that the first of his three no (no ruling on Conte) is not sincere. This time he can't bluff, he can't bring everything back for a reshuffle or a few billion moved here or there. The big target is Conte's head: either he or Conte. If it fails, Italia Viva takes a seat in the opposition.
Renzi has his reasons, because Conte is the link that makes the Pd-5 Star alliance possible, now just a few steps away from becoming organic. Without Conte, Pd and 5 Stelle are naked.
What would be the synthesis personality between the two forces? It would take time to find another one. And who would their frontmen be, when sooner or later it will return to the vote? Zingaretti and Crimi? Killing Conte, therefore, to undermine the Pd-5 Star agreement, undermine the Zingaretti secretariat and get back into the game.
Enlivened by the entry of his friend Biden to the White House, thinking he had his shoulders sufficiently covered, Renzi took courage and finally passed from words, threats, penultimatums, to deeds. But he overestimated the support (and patience) of Democratic Washington. He needs to show that he still matters, that he is still decisive, he cannot be satisfied with a reshuffle.
The question of the next few hours, however, is: can Mattarella allow Conte to go and scrape together some drifters in Parliament, without a formal passage to the Quirinale, thus selling off functions that do not belong to him but to the office he holds? And, if so, will he be able to afford a re-assignment to Conte, running the risk that the "responsible" do not reveal themselves, that they were the birth of the will of Bettini's optimism and someone's sòla? "Responsible" are always found, except when it turns out that each thought that the others would have sacrificed themselves for the noble cause of supporting an unpresentable government in order to remain clinging to the chair.
But Mattarella, founding father of this red-yellow coalition, will want to do everything to save his creature, especially if he is cherishing the idea of his re-election to the Quirinale. And it may have no alternative to the gamble of a Conte-ter collector.
At this point, we do not feel like excluding a thrilling scenario which we hope not to have to witness: it would be too much, if after a first forcing, the Count-bis, President Mattarella made a second one, even baptizing a Count-ter , even more recollected, to keep the Pd-5 Star alliance alive, and if then this same alliance saved by him re-elected him for a second seven years. A Parliament, let's not forget it, no longer in line with the constitutional dictates – after the reform, confirmed by referendum, which reduced the number of parliamentarians by over a third – which instead of being dissolved to adapt to the wishes of the Italians, even decides who should be the tenant of the Colle for a further seven years, until 2029.
It would be a nefarious and unprecedented conduct, that of a president who would run a clearly exhausted legislature, for the sole purpose of preserving a political coalition he had baptized, which in a few months would ensure his re-election to the Quirinale. Also in the light of a presidency already tainted by the silences on the abuse of the Dpcm and the signing of the decree laws of "full powers" to the head of the Government (decrees no. 6 of 23 February 2020 and no. 172 of 18 December 2020).
(excerpt from the article published by Atlantico Quotidiano; here the full version )
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/ecco-chi-lavora-per-un-conte-ter/ on Thu, 14 Jan 2021 09:31:12 +0000.