How will the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko end?
Facts and scenarios on Belarus and Russia in view of the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko. Angelantonio Rosato's article
According to various experts, including the well-known Russian political scientist, journalist and former member of the Coordination Council of the Russian opposition Andrei Piontkovsky, "on September 14 Moscow will announce the accession of Belarus to Russia".
The "State Union of Russia and Belarus" already exists, but it is a supranational and intergovernmental entity between the two countries. Moscow has long sought to transform the Union into an effective merger between the two states or rather to achieve absorption for the benefit of the Russian Federation. Lukashenko, however, has always resisted, at least until today. Now, following ongoing internal protests, European sanctions and international isolation, the shaky Belarusian president may have changed his mind.
After these events, Piontkovsky is convinced, the constitutional reform in Belarus, which was simultaneously supported by Lukashenko, Lavrov and even the potential "opposition leader" Babariko, who is in prison, will smoothly turn into a drafting process. of the Constitution of the State of the Union, the same “common homeland, from Brest to Vladivostok”.
In this regard, argues Piontkovskiy, the attempted merger between Russia and Belarus, disguised as constitutional reform, represents a serious threat to the entire civil society in the small Slavic Republic. At the same time, the expert has no doubts that on September 14 in Moscow Lukashenko will sign the necessary documents to ensure his safety and the well-being of his family.
"Moscow wants to cash in its geopolitical profit as soon as possible, and therefore the problematic vassal (Lukashenko, Ed ) was ordered to appear on September 14 at the headquarters of its overlord, where he will sign the documents that set the final roadmap for the renunciation of the sovereignty of the Republic, ”Piontkovsky writes on his analysis blog on the Moscow Echo website.
But Kremlin spokesman Dimitry Peskov categorically denies that this could happen.
There will be no unification of Russia and Belarus in any form after Alexander Lukashenko's visit to Moscow on Monday 14 September. This, according to the news agency ria.ru , said Vladimir Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov.
"Of course, there can be no mergers, acquisitions and so on as a result of the visit," Peskov said. In short, according to the Kremlin spokesman, the full unification of Russia and Belarus is not on the agenda and will not be discussed during the Belarusian president's next visit to Moscow.
(Article taken from Rosato's blog )
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/come-finira-lincontro-tra-putin-e-lukashenko/ on Mon, 14 Sep 2020 06:55:30 +0000.