I’ll tell you about Macron’s reforming Super Bowl
He is the favorite in the first round on Sunday 10, but the gap between Emmanuel Macron (now 27%) and Marine Le Pen (22%) has never been so close in the run-off. According to the polls, only five points distance the two. In a country beating to the right, Monsieur Le President entered the campaign late, busy carving out a role as a statesman in the Russian war on Ukraine. For now without results. In the first – and only – meeting, on Saturday he proposed his "but also" policy. Hunting for votes between right-wing and left-wing themes. Objective: to convince 25% of undecided.
For Emmanuel Macron 's only meeting before the first presidential round on Sunday April 10, his team produced a show. On Saturday 2 April, supporters at La Défense Arena, 30,000 in attendance – a little less than it could hold – were invited to behave like in a stadium.
(here the video of the meeting)
For an hour they wait for Emmanuel , warming the growing atmosphere. There is the DJ – the electronic musician Worakls -, the rhythm applause, light effects. American-style super screens project short videos and faces of the leaders of the macronie and simple militants of the Macron Avec Vous . The campaign slogan. Luminous tubes. And also the ola that starts from the front row: Édouard Philippe or Richard Ferrand seem less at ease than Jean Castex . Details. It looks like the Super Bowl.
Macron takes the hexagonal stage amidst bursts of flames and colored smoke bombs. Go from podium to podium, often letting the text flow on the teleprompters , to speak casually. The candidate-president has a lot to say. Talk for two and a half hours.
He is the favorite, but the polls show Marine Le Pen in a significant recovery. The challenge is the ballot.
Defends his results, Macron , the records of his five-year term. List his promises. It is technical. It exalts a France that looks to the future and to Europe. It is lyrical.
Does a lot of liturgy seem megalomaniac for just one meeting? After all, it is the only one in a campaign that has seen the president-candidate occupied between Russia and Ukraine. It is a fluvial discourse, with progressive and optimistic accents against "impeded lives" and seasoned more than ever with the sauces of "at the same time" and "but also". It looks like the Walter Veltroni of a political era ago. Macron wants to be both Girondist and Jacobin. Gaullist and Social Democrat. He dances on two legs, but does not lose his balance.
After five years, not only the founder of En Marche! he kept all his people in La République en marche , but he managed to seduce some elected officials of the old world, especially on the right.
He talks about investments in defense: “We will continue to invest in our army, reaffirming the army-nation bond”. And at the same time he proposes himself as a peace broker in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. And he is also attentive to individual rights. It does not pursue ecological decreases, and insists on energy autonomy. Primarily nuclear, but also renewables. It does not yield to cancel culture . To Islamization he opposes French identity and secularism.
In his speech there is something for all the inhabitants of the French archipelago. Workers, unemployed, carers, teachers, farmers, Muslims. Left and right.
The Olralpe media have mainly withheld the raising of the retirement age to 65 from his program. As in Italy. For the former magistrate of the Court of Auditors , François Ecalle , “Macron's only solid economic measure is the pension reform”.
Then the reform of the RSA , a sort of transalpine citizenship income, with the introduction of an "obligation to devote from 15 to 20 hours per week" to an activity that favors job placement.
After years of Covid he concedes to the world of health that perhaps it has not done enough. It pays tribute to the teachers. He promises that France will be "the first great nation to get out of fossil fuels," and multiplies the winks to the left. For Libé "without fear of forcing the line".
He steals “strength tranquille”, the force tranquille , and “France united” from François Mitterrand . He says: “the real purchasing power, the one for which when you work, you earn more”, is a paraphrase of Nicolas Sarkozy 's “work more to earn more”. He goes so far as to steal a slogan from Olivier Besancenot , of the New Anti-Capitalist Party: “Our lives are worth more than all profits”.
Macron mainly stages his duel with Marine Le Pen . It targets "extremist danger" and "hatred". He opposes the choice of a new era for France and for Europe. To respond to Eric Zemmour 's populism. But it does not go to the clash with the right. He urges his supporters not to boo them.
The candidate of Les Républicains , Valérie Pécresse , could have said very similar. Better: of identical. In Macron 's menu we find a large number of measures that already appear in the projects of his competitors for the presidential elections. Marianne calls him the cambrioleur candidate. In short: "thief".
Retirement age at 65, reduction of the inheritance tax, greater autonomy of schools: all these Macron proposals were already Pécresse 's proposals. Other points of the macronist program have also been proposed by other right-wing candidates. The relief from inheritance tax is in the Pécresse project, but also in those of Le Pen ( Rassemblement National ) and Eric Zemmour ( Reconquête ).
When asked about these "loans," Macron last week brought up, in all modesty, General de Gaulle: "I assume that I am quite Gaullist." "There are inevitably reforms and ambitions in my program that you might qualify as left-wing inspirations, others as right-wing inspirations," he admitted. "What matters is what works for the country." It is the luxury you can afford in the favorite position.
Macron thus plays in his first and perhaps only meeting during which he tries to consolidate his position as presidential favorite in the face of the surge in the Le Pen polls. One week from the first round, Le Pen is just 5 points behind Macron .
A new Ifop poll for the Journal du Dimanche attributes 27% of voting intentions to Macron (-2.5 points in two weeks), ahead of Le Pen with 22% (+3.5 points). The candidate of the Rassemblement National approaches the Head of State and hits the third, Jean-Luc Mélenchon of the radical left of La France Insoumise (15%). That the day after the show, he replied point by point to the Head of State. Not failing to mock him : “The last time I went to the Arena was to see Pink Floyd. And I'll tell you, it was fuller and less poised “.
For the latest Elabe poll for L'Express and BFM TV , in the first round, the president-candidate remains clearly ahead of the expressed voting intentions (28.5%). After having registered a drop of six points between March 8 and March 21, it registers a slight rebound (+0.5 in two days, +1 in ten days). Elabe gives Le Pen 22%, (+1 in two days and +2 in ten days). Mélenchon is credited with 15%. Zemmour at 9.5% (-1) Pécresse at 8.5% (-1).
In the second round of voting, on April 24, Macron is given at 53%, Le Pen at 47%.
Purchasing power is the real issue. According to the Ifop poll, 93% of respondents believe that this issue will have an impact on the vote of the French in the first round of the presidential elections and 74% on their vote. It has a clear advantage on health (27%, -1), safety (26%, +2), pensions (24%), immigration (22%, +3), environment / ecology (20%, -2), employment (17%, +1), social inequalities / injustices (17%, +2) and education (16%, +1).
Other candidates should not perform beyond 5%. when it goes well.
The fight on the right was the surprise. In October, Zemmour is the revelation of the election. Marine Le Pen , the symbol of the far right, the heir to the family monopoly, seems to be staggering a little from the blows of someone who swears as a "great replacement" or "repatriation". It is Éric Zemmour who upsets the right. Many leave Le Pen and marry him. But then it goes under. From 18% of voting intentions, it drops to 10.
Before December, the press ignored Pécresse . However, it is the president of Île-de-France who wins the bet. She is the official candidate of the Republicans. Difficult campaign, she too loses pieces. It does not take off. Today it is given on 8%.
On the left, however, Mélenchon climbed up. His line-up opponents register consensus under 5%. He comes back to 15%, ahead of Zemmour and Pécresse .
Zemmour has already made it known that he wants to regroup the right. Obviously he imagines himself as Macron 's challenger. It's propaganda. However – undecided variables and abstention permitting – the numbers say of a country that beats to the right.
Despite Eric and Marianne 's past putinisms, the president-candidate Macron has to sweat the second round.
For Bernard Sananès, president of the Elabe Institute "Macron is outgoing president in the first round, divisive candidate in the second": the tendency to vote can shift the lines. L'Expres notes: Saturday's presentation reactivated an “All but Macron” in part of the electorate.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/vi-racconto-il-super-bowl-riformatore-di-macron/ on Sun, 03 Apr 2022 14:46:42 +0000.