In Europe bipolarism will return (and the right will rise). Fondapol Report
What emerges from a survey conducted by Fondapol, a French “liberal, progressive and pro-European” think tank, on political trends in Europe. Here are numbers and scenarios state by state. Pietro Romano's article
Europe is sliding to the right. Definitely. And polarizing on the extreme wings of the political spectrum. This was revealed by a survey conducted by Fondapol (Fondation pour l' novation politique), a French think tank / circle of reflection founded in 2004, by self-definition “liberal, progressive and pro-European”. The research was carried out starting from the data of the Political Confidence Barometer authored by Cevipof, the survey center of Sciences Po, the famous Parisian Institute of Political Studies. Luiss was among the subjects who collaborated in the work.
Fondapol's study focuses on the four main countries of the Old Continent: France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom. And it is significant that in all four the trend is univocal. On average, self-positioning on the right reaches 39%, on the left 27%, in the center 20% with a 14% who prefer not to define themselves, generally because they feel far from political life when they are not convinced that democracy malfunction.
In the four countries involved in the survey, the number of voters who are mostly on the right side of the political spectrum is found in Italy, with as many as 44% of declared right-handers. Following: United Kingdom (40%), France (38%) and Germany (36%). Italy is the country that also has the largest share of voters who claim to be leftists: 31%. Behind it, in order: Germany (26%), United Kingdom (25%) and France (24%).
On the eve of the local vote in the United Kingdom, it is interesting to note that the gap between right and left in and around London is the deepest: among the voters who are placed on the two extremes of politics, the gap is 15 points. Hence France (14%), Italy (13%), Germany (10%).
The results of the Fondapol survey also reveal the polarization of the electorate. The two extreme wings of the grid are worth 75% in Italy, 65% in the United Kingdom and 62% in France and Germany.
Compared to similar surveys carried out previously, even by other subjects, the study underlines that, contrary to the vulgate, those who self-position themselves on the right belong more easily to the new generations. In the four countries as a whole, right-handed people aged between 18 and 34 represent 41% of the electorate, a little less than the over-65s (40%) but much more than the intermediate age group.
On the contrary, the self-styled left-handed people are just 26% between 18 and 24 years and 22% between 25 and 34 years, shares well below the 55-64 age group (29%) and the over-65s (31 %).
For France, the Political Confidence Barometer makes it possible to analyze the trend of political self-positioning starting from 2017. It emerges that in five years the French right-wing voters have grown from 33 to 38%, those of the left have decreased since 25 to 24%.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/in-europa-tornera-il-bipolarismo-e-la-destra-lievitera-report-fondapol/ on Tue, 04 May 2021 15:14:36 +0000.