Ukraine, Putin’s madness and US ease. Fabbri’s analysis
So far the most enthusiastic about the war in Ukraine are the American apparatuses, that's why. The analysis by Dario Fabbri, editor of the monthly Scenari attached to the newspaper Domani
So far the most enthusiastic about the war in Ukraine are the American apparatuses.
They withdrew as soon as Moscow began military operations, they abandoned the Ukrainian population to the advance of the enemy after implicitly promising to associate it with itself.
They contracted out to the Baltics, Poles, Romanians the advancement of the containment against Russia, leading it to the limits of Galicia, although they were not convinced of the maneuver.
Yet the Kremlin's reckless invasion of the territory is turning US guilty lightness into an advantage – in the face of an indirect contribution in armaments.
Net of any outcome of the war, in the near future Moscow will be forced to deal with its neighbor abroad, to quell occupied Ukraine or to extricate itself from its quicksand. Removing other hips.
While the NATO front, blatantly frayed, compacted against the Bear, a unit destined to last shortly but still longer than in the recent past.
Without the possibility of the suffering Ukraine joining the Atlantic Alliance, an evolution that has long been denied by the United States, certain that the "frontier land" is more useful between two civilizations than in its own field.
Nor can Beijing use European events to attack Taiwan, well aware that the two dossiers remain clearly distinct, due to American determination to intervene on the Chinese seas and not on the Dnieper.
The only risk for Washington is the unexpected German ability to exploit the moment to justify its rearmament, as claimed over the years by the Pentagon, as long as it does not mark the beginning of a (semi) independence mutation.
The Ukrainian crisis has been handled by the United States with excessive ease. In the early 2000s Washington was convinced it was necessary to bring the Atlantic alliance to Kiev, with the aim of driving Russia back into the northern quadrant of the Sarmatian plain.
The communiqué of the NATO summit in Bucharest in 2008 was produced from that period, which called for the entry into the organization of Ukraine and Georgia.
(…)
There remains the concern for the unprecedented Berlin maneuver, capable of entering the crisis to justify its rearmament, masking it with the sly decision to auto-suspend Nord Stream 2 , in order to free it from the sanctioning regime, and with the considerable shipment of arms to Ukraine to demonstrate good faith.
Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced on February 27 that he wanted to drive military spending over 2 per cent of GDP, well beyond the UK and France in absolute terms. A goal historically claimed by Washington, yet sufficient to alarm the superpower about the future intentions of the Teutonic partner, technically ready to further increase the outlay. To break away (partially) from the Anglo-Saxon patron. Potentially harmful development for the United States, but a reasonable risk to reap the benefits of Russian self-harm.
(Brief excerpt from Fabbri's analysis published in the monthly Scenari of the Domani newspaper )
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/ucraina-la-follia-di-putin-e-la-disinvoltura-usa-lanalisi-di-fabbri/ on Fri, 04 Mar 2022 09:41:36 +0000.