BREXIT CONCLUDED: NOW HOW MANY COUNTRIES ARE READY TO EXIT THE EU?
The Brexit talks are almost over, and there is now an agreement. It won't be a complete deal, it won't be exactly what Johnson wanted, but it is an agreement that rebuilds British national sovereignty. The United Kingdom, despite its contradictions, has returned to being an independent state.
In the end, the process took three and a half years from the time of the vote, four years if we also consider the definition of the referendum itself. A very long time because there was the lost year of the May government to demonstrate that, if you take a road, you cannot follow it with uncertainty. If you decide to leave, you cannot conduct a negotiation being surrounded by internal contradictions. May was a Reminer, with a Remainer majority, who had to negotiate Brexit, so it couldn't work. In the end, Johnson with a new, more determined majority, took thirteen months to come to an agreed exit.
Now which countries can the UK follow? Daniel Hannan, a long-time politician, with numerous previous government posts and freshly appointed to the House of Peers, has identified three candidate countries for exit, in two different ways.
The referendum route, similar to the British one, could be followed by the Netherlands and Denmark. The first country is in contradiction with numerous European policies, Recovery Fund first, for which the Dutch did not want the non-repayable part. Elections will be held in March in which two strong Eurosceptic parties are presented. In Denmark there is a strong debate about the country's permanence in the Union and the Scandinavian country, just like the United Kingdom, has kept its own currency. The Netherlands are in the Euro, but are contesting the ECB's monetary policy, which is too lax.
If, on the other hand, the exit were to be due to a sudden crisis, then the candidate for exit is Italy: the high debt, the twenty-year stagnation and the increasingly rigid rules linked to the ESM seem a deadly combination that accompanies us to a euro exit not agreed, with a referendum, among other things, impossible, except for constitutional changes, which in any case would be appropriate.
The United Kingdom has already managed to start vaccinations earlier than the European Union, and has concluded 64 trade agreements in a few months, apart from the one with the Union. Do you still doubt that it can be truly successful? If successful, what will the Union hold together, apart from the repression in Brussels?
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BREXIT article CONCLUDED: NOW HOW MANY COUNTRIES ARE READY TO EXIT THE EU? comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/brexit-conclusa-ora-quanti-paesi-sono-pronti-ad-uscire-dalla-ue/ on Sat, 26 Dec 2020 07:33:06 +0000.