“Unreliable data” and old. The lockdown imposed on political grounds by a bungling government
Today Il Sole 24 ore officially gives us news that should worry, and anger, Italian citizens from north to south. The government colored the various regions, from yellow to red, with the green discarded because it would have been too “tranquilizing”, but this division took place on the basis of UN RELIABLE or OLD data.
We don't say it, and neither does the Sun say it. The Istituto Superiore di Sanità says it directly. For example, Campania has a Rt, the contagiousness index, at a low 1.2, it is a pity that according to the ISS these data are, at best, partial, in the worst, as the ISS itself says, " UN RELIABLE ".
On the contrary, the evaluation of the total closure of Lombardy was made for the data of an Rt equal to 2, but more than ten days old, a few days ago it was 1.57 and today could very well be below the threshold of 1.5 at below which it turns yellow. Not only that: the areas of Bergamo and Brescia, so hard hit in spring, enjoy very low levels of contagiousness, so today they could enjoy less stringent regimes, while the problem is in Milan, with a higher Rt.
But the government "has the algorithm" and on the basis of that closes the Italians at home, condemns them to jail, or lets them free. Even assuming that the 21-variable formula has a scientific basis, if I load it with fake data, I will have some wrong results. Despite this Conte and Speranza, the well-known author of the book “Why We Will Heal”, have decided to affix licenses on the basis of these data.
Of course, we NEVER talk about therapeutic protocols at home, as Dr. Cavanna, as all those who really find themselves in need of treating citizens would like. There is no mention of remote diagnosis tools, tele-medicine, refresher courses for general practitioners, safety measures to guarantee live teaching, such as a high air exchange. No, there is none of this. Only obligations, punishments and closures. Because, as Quartapelle pointed out, the fault of the epidemic lies with Italian citizens.
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The article «Unreliable data» and old. The lockdown imposed on a political basis by a bungling government comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/dati-inattendibili-e-vecchi-il-lockdown-imposto-su-basi-politiche-e-nepostistiche-da-un-governo-pasticcione/ on Fri, 06 Nov 2020 11:44:27 +0000.