All the consequences of the lifting of the arms embargo on Iran
The abolition of the embargo will increase destabilization in the Middle East: it will help to strengthen Iran's foreign policy in an anti-American, anti-Turkish and above all anti-Israeli function. Giuseppe Gagliano's analysis
The Iranian president has notified the lifting of the arms embargo as foreseen by resolution 2231 of July 2015. Consequently, from 18 October Iran will no longer be subject to the arms embargo imposed and especially wanted by the United States .
THE DOSSIER
It is clear that Iran's arms exports will largely go to Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq.
THE SCENARIOS
While the lifting of the arms embargo certainly represents a victory – albeit a narrow one – over the United States, on the other hand it is difficult to deny that the arms exports that Iran will implement will certainly be a factor. of destabilization. Both for the Middle Eastern hegemony of the United States – not surprisingly they had requested that the embargo be extended even beyond its natural expiration and that they will take the appropriate countermeasures – and because Iran will certainly strengthen its support for terrorist groups. globally. In fact, the export of weapons will also relate to missiles, drones and military vehicles.
THE NUMBERS
If we consider that Iran exports arms to 57 countries and that the total volume of business has reached 200 million dollars, it is easy to imagine that the lifting of the embargo will not only greatly increase the revenues of the Iranian military industry but will certainly contribute to strengthen the states and terrorist groups that support Iran globally.
THE TERRORIST GROUPS
As far as the so-called terrorist groups are concerned, it is obvious to underline that the lifting of the embargo will strengthen the Houthi militias in Yemen and the Shiite militias in Iraq at the military level .
THE AFRICAN COUNTRIES
As for the states, it is sufficient to think that numerous African countries – including Congo, Guinea, Nigeria, Uganda – are the main arms importers.
THE EFFECTS
Ultimately, lifting the embargo will significantly increase destabilization in the Middle East. It will certainly strengthen the Shiite political-religious role on a global level but above all it will contribute to strengthening Iranian foreign policy in an anti-American , anti-Turkish and above all anti-Israeli function.
CONCLUSION
It is no coincidence that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stressed that the revocation will strengthen the partnership with Russia. Obviously in anti-American function. It goes without saying that the lifting of the embargo will also favor bilateral relations with China .
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/conseguenze-revoca-embargo-armi-iran/ on Wed, 21 Oct 2020 06:10:28 +0000.