All the divergent tugs of France and Germany to Italy
How and why France and Germany from different positions tug on Italy. Carlo Pelanda's comment from Italia Oggi
For months, this writer has the feeling that a swap is taking place between Rome and the Franco-German diarchy: European money and political support in exchange for Italy's convergence within a tetrarchy configuration (Diocletian, end of the third century) where Paris and Berlin are the august, that is, who commands, and Rome and Madrid the subordinate Caesars.
This architecture, since it includes the four largest nations of the EU, has a consolidating effect of the diarchy. But this reduces the intra-European relevance of smaller nations, with their risk of vassalage.
In fact, Holland, the Baltic nations and those of Visegrad have tried to sabotage the Franco-German incentive to Spain and Italy to avoid the formation of an unchallengeable intra-European power group. And they will continue to do so.
But the most likely scenario is that the tetrarchic architecture will be able to consolidate because both France and Germany have the priority of compacting the empire (which is a multiplier of their otherwise insufficient national strength) to try to place it, with advantage, in the growing turbulence. global where, at the moment, it has a disadvantage due to inertia and absence caused by a deconstructed governance. The tetrarchical solution, in effect, increases the scale and variety of the control system to equalize the variety of possible divergences. Compacting via tetrarchy, in fact.
On the one hand, for Italy the swap has the advantage of closing the latent divergence with Paris and Berlin, but on the other hand there is the risk of losing "resident wealth".
France needs to dominate financial wealth (the reason for the actions whose tip of the iceberg emerges in the news) and, above all, Italy's industrial wealth to equalize the German excessive power in a diarchy where it is a transferring party.
It also has the priority of taking it in a post-NATO direction, meanwhile conquering its considerable military and technological industry, preventing it from being strengthened through participation in aerospace programs and it with America and the United Kingdom.
Germany has minor industrial interests, albeit not absent, because it is already dominant, but it wants to align Italy with its foreign policy which, unlike the French interest, is neutralist, mercantilist even if not post-NATO.
In summary, once the tetrarchic strategy has been stabilized, Italy has a residual power to destabilize it which allows it to defend its "resident wealth" via negotiation. Italian financial actors, because they are more at risk, should press on the government to make it less compliant.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/tutti-gli-strattoni-divergenti-di-francia-e-germania-allitalia/ on Sat, 15 Aug 2020 08:30:39 +0000.