The wide field is still very narrow
The chatter driven by numbers about the strength of the majority and the weakness of the opposition. Damato's Scratches
Last November 2 – when the incident of the Russian comedians' phone call to the Italian Prime Minister on the tiredness caused by the war in Ukraine and more had already exploded, even before the consequent and substantial removal of the diplomatic advisor of Palazzo Chigi and the relaunch of the action of government with the launch of the constitutional reform of the premiership – a poll by Alessandra Ghisleri recorded the prime minister's party at 28 percent of the votes. Indeed, voting intentions, with a loss of only half a point compared to the previous survey on October 26th.
On the other hand, Matteo Salvini's League was at 8 percent, with an increase of almost half a point: exactly 0.4. Antonio Tajani's Forza Italia was at 7.9, an increase of 0.2 percent. Another half point was awarded to Maurizio Lupi's moderates. The center-right's total was therefore 44.8 percent, equal to the figure for coalitions found in a similar survey on 19 October. The percentage collected last year at the polls by the current majority was 43.79 percent.
If we move on to the varied front of the opposition, despite the loud drumming also from the streets against the government's budget law or financial maneuver, the Democratic Party had fallen, again on November 2nd, to 19 percent and the 5 Star Movement rose to 17. The greens and the left stood at 3.5 percent, Bonino's +Europa at 2.5, Calenda's Action at 4.2, Italia Viva. or Centro, by Matteo Renzi at 3.3 and the Italia di Paragone – there is also this – at 2.5.
NUMEROUS, BUT DIVIDED OPPOSITIONS
All together these oppositions would reach 52 percent, but they cannot be put together because they simply would not even be able to have a lemonade in the famous bar in Campobasso where the secretary of the Democratic Party Elly Schlein and the president of the Grillini Giuseppe Conte met five months ago and the red-green Nicola Fratoianni with their common candidate for the presidency of the Molise region miserably rejected after a few days at the polls.
Since then, I would say that things on that front have gotten worse, not better, also because of the helmet that Conte reproaches Schlein every other day for wearing in foreign and military policy, as his predecessor Enrico Letta did to the Nazarene.
WHAT GHISLERI'S SURVEY SAYS
The reality therefore remains that, resulting from Ghisleri's survey, of almost 45 percent of the centre-right, or right-centre, as opposed to the 25 percent – 26.12 in last year's polls – of a centre-left considered without Conte. However, his arrival in the so-called broad camp would bring out so many components that he would fall well below the centre-right. These are the facts. Everything else is chatter, including Meloni's cartoonish teasing as the "little black" chick that everyone is angry at, and not just Putin's comedians who managed to break through Merkel's safety net at the time too – I repeat, Merkel – in Berlin: I repeat, Berlin.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/il-campo-largo-e-ancora-molto-strettino/ on Mon, 06 Nov 2023 06:29:35 +0000.