What will change after the Vaffa di Calenda in Letta
Calenda's twist aims to reopen games and scenarios that are anything but obvious. Here are which ones. Federico Guiglia's notebook
A surprise shot, but not a header. Carlo Calenda broke the pact he had entered into with the Democratic Party and decided to run on his own, distinct and distant from the two poles of center-right and center-left.
The reason for the rethinking is political: the impossibility of being part of an alliance that includes the Italian Left, Verdi, Di Maio and those who represent the opposite of the program pursued by the Action leader, starting with the full implementation of the Draghi agenda.
Instead, explained Calenda, in the coalition that Letta has chosen to expand to his left, there are people "who have voted 54 times no confidence in Draghi", and others opposed to regasifiers and waste-to-energy plants. Therefore, a choice of clarity and coherence, he claims, which now passes to the judgment of the voters. “The third pole is an extraordinary opportunity”, Matteo Renzi applauds, while Letta reacts with irony: “Calenda's only possible ally is Calenda”.
What is certain is that the tear introduces two novelties in an electoral campaign that is still at a low intensity. The first is that principles for governing cannot be sacrificed on the electoral altar.
If to stop Giorgia Meloni and allies, which the polls today predict winners, the Democratic Party brings together everything and the opposite of everything, the numerical agreement will never be able to turn into a political proposal. “A CLN”, as Calenda described, separating himself from this front of the no.
Furthermore, by giving up 30 per cent of guaranteed colleges, he aims to attract the discontented of the two poles and those who have not digested “ the ignominy of the fall of Draghi ” with an independent role, as the leader of Action says. He hopes, therefore, to have the confidence of the voters who do not forgive Salvini and Berlusconi for having supported the end of the Draghi government decreed by Conte with the M5S's lack of confidence in the Aid decree, plus everything that followed.
From an arithmetic point of view, Calenda's farewell to the Democratic Party favors the compacted center-right coalition. But politics and the botched electoral law do not live only on mathematical formulas.
The twist aims to reopen games and scenarios that are anything but obvious.
(Published in The Arena of Verona, Il Giornale di Vicenza and Bresciaoggi)
www.federicoguiglia.com
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/calenda-letta-cosa-succede/ on Tue, 09 Aug 2022 05:23:58 +0000.